{"resolved":true,"match_type":"uuid","source_type":"original_book","book_id":"01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","title":"总体绩效资本主义新精神","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787513647939","requested_by":"printed_page","book":{"source_type":"original_book","book_id":"01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","id":"01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","uuid":"01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","title":"总体绩效资本主义新精神","normalized_title":"总体绩效资本主义新精神","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787513647939","isbns":["9787513647939"],"parsed":true,"ai_readable":true,"document_type":"book","page_count":221,"navigation_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","title_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/title/%E6%80%BB%E4%BD%93%E7%BB%A9%E6%95%88%E8%B5%84%E6%9C%AC%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89%E6%96%B0%E7%B2%BE%E7%A5%9E","fixed_page_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e/page/{printed_page}","path_api_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/book/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e/page/{printed_page}","read_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/read/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e","page_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e/page","search_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/01d9787f-4c57-445a-9e15-ce10dae3b33e/search"},"page":{"printed_page":117,"pdf_page":126,"physical_index":126,"physical_index_base":0,"printed_page_status":"recognized","page_sha256":"4163fa34596500e3c094ddc5f68ed1806e8b5c4ca50a3f6fae097bb57242a774"},"chapter":"第四章“现代化”国家的绩效","content":"(Deblock,2000)。\n\n短期经济周期晴雨表\n\n对于这种方法，Christian Deblock提到了两种有趣的趋势：大部分对经济周期的研究(尤其是Juglar的研究和Beveridge的研究)都借鉴了医学和计量学方法(Deblock，2000)。这个时候发展出了两种记录信息的方式，二者都服务于经济预测：一种是晴雨表（总指数，baromètre)，另一种是指标组（各种指标的组合，unebatteried’indicateurs)。Christian Deblock(2000)指出这两种方式将会处于长期竞争的状态。作者还指出，晴雨表最早是在第一次世界大战前夕由实业家制定的，“美国某些大公司，特别是几家私营事务所(maisons d'affaires)①，很快就看到了投资者以及对图表进行智能运用的企业所能取得的全部利益，他们对于表格和原始数据有着非常可观的优势，能够做出一个即时的符合实际的形势判断”（Deblock，2000)。\n\n计划制定中“短期动力”类评估的发展所显示出的实时性的主导地位，是RCB向其他评估方式转变的主要特征之一。\n\n第四章“现代化”国家的绩效\n\n① ChristianDeblock 列举的实业家是 Babson 和Brookmire。\n\n117","previous_page":116,"next_page":118}