{"resolved":true,"match_type":"uuid","source_type":"original_book","book_id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title":"第三次浪潮","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787508685069","requested_by":"printed_page","book":{"source_type":"original_book","book_id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","uuid":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title":"第三次浪潮","normalized_title":"第三次浪潮","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787508685069","isbns":["9787508685069"],"parsed":true,"ai_readable":true,"document_type":"book","page_count":482,"navigation_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/title/%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E6%AC%A1%E6%B5%AA%E6%BD%AE","fixed_page_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page/{printed_page}","path_api_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page/{printed_page}","read_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/read/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","page_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page","search_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/search"},"page":{"printed_page":7,"pdf_page":25,"physical_index":25,"physical_index_base":0,"printed_page_status":"recognized","page_sha256":"1008d46e4e240ae2e9f132dc7844ad50cb79eb508ff5b948f56404e69d367814"},"chapter":"第一章 主要的竞争","content":"换言之，本书假设我们是旧文明的最后一代和新文明的第一代，而我们个人的苦闷、困惑、茫然多半可以归因于垂死的第二次浪潮文明与蓄势待发的第三次浪潮文明所造成的个人冲突和政治制度冲突。\n\n了然于此，许多看似无意义的事件突然变得清晰易懂了，变化的轮廓清楚地显露出来，为生存而采取行动也变得可能了。总之，革命性的前提使我们的智慧和意志得到解放。\n\n变化的前沿\n\n然而，单说我们面临的变化是革命性的还不够。在我们能够控制及引导变化之前，需要从崭新的角度辨认和分析这些变化，否则我们会迷失方向。\n\n一个最理想的方法是所谓的社会“浪潮前”分析法。这种方法把历史视为一连串波动的变化浪潮，并探寻每个波浪的前沿是否引导着我们。我们的注意力与其说集中于历史的连续性（自有其重要性)，毋宁说集中于历史的断续期，即革新和中断时期。这种方法能找出关键的新生变化形态，使人们能左右之。\n\n从最简单的观念出发，农业兴起是人类社会发展的第一个转折点，工业革命是第二个大突破，这些都不是断续的瞬时事件，而是以一定速度进行的变化浪潮。\n\n第一章 主要的竞争\n\n007","previous_page":6,"next_page":8}