{"resolved":true,"match_type":"uuid","source_type":"original_book","book_id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title":"第三次浪潮","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787508685069","requested_by":"printed_page","book":{"source_type":"original_book","book_id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","id":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","uuid":"6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title":"第三次浪潮","normalized_title":"第三次浪潮","author":null,"edition":null,"publisher":null,"year":null,"isbn":"9787508685069","isbns":["9787508685069"],"parsed":true,"ai_readable":true,"document_type":"book","page_count":482,"navigation_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","title_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/title/%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E6%AC%A1%E6%B5%AA%E6%BD%AE","fixed_page_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page/{printed_page}","path_api_url_template":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/book/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page/{printed_page}","read_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/read/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17","page_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/page","search_url":"https://workshop.closeclaw.top/api/ai/books/6c8738ac-131b-4594-8c38-912b14f40f17/search"},"page":{"printed_page":"XII","pdf_page":6,"physical_index":6,"physical_index_base":0,"printed_page_status":"recognized","page_sha256":"fc3f778c16349263de1fc21cca14e504c9944b5d379699d725f73645b4294690"},"chapter":"浪潮 第三次","content":"如果本书的论据无误，我们就有足够的理由乐观面对未来，尽管眼前这几年仍将风雨飘摇、危机重重。\n\n在我创作本书之际，许多前来参加我的演讲会的听众一再问我，这本书和我早先写的《未来的冲击》(FutureShock)①有什么不同。\n\n作者和读者在同一本书中从来不会看到相同的事物。我认为本书的形式和重点都与《未来的冲击》完全不同。首先，本书包含一个更大的时间跨度，囊括过去和未来，比较有规律可循，其结构也与《未来的冲击》不同。(聪明的读者会发现本书的结构反映出其中心意象—浪潮的冲击。)\n\n其次，这两本书本质上的差异更加明显。《未来的冲击》呼吁人们进行某种改变，强调个人和社会的改变成本；而本书则关注适应的困难，强调不迅速改变某些事物将付出的等额代价。\n\n最后，在《未来的冲击》中，我曾提及“未来的早产”，我当时并无意以任何广泛或系统化的方式来勾画新兴的未来社会。该书的重点在于变化的过程，而不在于变化的方向。\n\n本书的角度正好相反，不看重变化速度，而着眼于变化引领我们去的方向。也就是说，《未来的冲击》比较偏重过程，本书比较偏重结构。基于上述理由，这两本书的设计是互相配合的，不是作为正续篇，而是同属一个整体的互补。两本书各不相同，但是互相观照。\n\n第三次浪潮\n\n①《未来的冲击》中文版已由中信出版社于2006年出版。——编者注\n\nXII","previous_page":5,"next_page":7}