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Fully Automated Luxury Communism A Manifesto

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Luther’s first pamphlet to be written in German, the ‘Sermon on Indulgences and Grace’, would be reprinted fourteen times in 1518 alone. Of the 6,000 pamphlets published in German between 1520 and 1526, some 1,700 were to be editions of Luther’s works. In all, that meant around 2 million pamphlets of his work were published in the decade after he pinned his original theses – hand-written and in Latin – to the door at Wittenberg. In short, technology made what was impossible in Wyclife ’s time seemingly inevitable in Luther’s.

In a certain sense Marx bears a resemblance to Wyclife. Like the English priest, the technologies necessary for the adoption of his ideas were unavailable during his own era. Just as a mass-produced vernacular Bible was impossible in a world without moveable metal type, so was any attempt at communism within the limits of the Second Disruption. Dependent on scarce fossil fuels, global living standards like those of the very wealthiest would spell environmental catastrophe, while under conditions of scarcity of both physical and cognitive labour, the pursuit of leisure for some necessarily depended on making others work harder. Yet this is now changing. Indeed, it has been for some time.

More than half a century would pass between the arrival of modern print, traditionally viewed as the publication of the Gutenberg Bible in the 1450s, and the starting gun of the Reformation with Luther’s 95 Theses. While the Gutenberg press was profoundly disruptive, it only led to social transformation once it became so mundane that a little-known theologian could have his ideas printed by people he had never met and, in a matter of months, discover an audience of millions.

The same is now true for the principal technologies of the Third Disruption. These are now taking centre stage after continuous progress since the 1950s – the decade photovoltaic cells were developed, the first silicon transistor invented and DNA finally modelled. By the early 1960s the first LEDs were being experimented with, and in the 1970s so too were lithium batteries. Only now are these innovations bringing extreme supply to information, labour and resources. In so doing, they undermine two core presumptions about capitalism: firstly, that scarcity will always exist; and secondly, that goods will not be produced if their marginal cost is zero. They are – and conventional economics can’t explain it.

FALC

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None of the technologies at the heart of the Third Disruption are new. Rather, as with the late fifteenth century, they have quietly moved from the fringes of social life to its centre – all while riding the dividends of the experience curve and exponential growth. What happens next, however, and how these technologies are woven into the fabric of modernity, is our responsibility. There is no necessary reason why they should liberate us, or maintain our planet’s ecosystems, any more than they should lead to ever-widening income inequality and widespread collapse. The direction we take next won’t be the result of a predictive algorithm or unicorn startup – it will be the result of politics. The binding decisions on all of us that we collectively choose to make.

FALC Is a Beginning, Not a Destination

The shifts outlined as central to the Third Disruption are not a destination, but a beginning. FALC is not a blueprint for a steady-state Eden – those always prove disappointing anyway. Nor is it a place beyond sadness or pain, where conflict and vulnerability are consigned to the past. Pride, greed and envy will abide as long as we do, the management of discord between humans – the essence of politics – an inevitable feature of any society we share with one another. Instead, FALC is a figurehead of possibility forged for a world changing so rapidly that new utopias are needed – because the old ones no longer make sense.

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Isaac Deutscher once wrote ‘socialism is not evolution’s last and perfect product or the end of history, but in a sense only the beginning’. This is how FALC is perhaps best conceived. It is a map by which we escape the labyrinth of scarcity and a society built on jobs; the platform from which we can begin to answer the most dificult question of all, of what it means, as Keynes once put it, to live ‘wisely and agreeably and well’.

Of course, any efective map must instruct its user about immediate next steps, the clarity of which must be as apparent as the intended destination. It is for this reason that FALC demurs from idealism or an overly optimistic view of human nature, ofering immediate action instead. While FALC is situated within a transformation as seismic as that of the arrival of agriculture, its concrete politics consist in specific, readily identifiable demands: a break with neoliberalism, a shift towards worker-owned production, a state-financed transition to renewable energy and universal services – rightly identified as human rights – placed beyond commodity exchange and profit.

FALC is not a manifesto for the starry-eyed poets. Rather it is born from the recognition of an increasingly obvious truth: amid the changes of the Third Disruption the ‘fact’ of scarcity is moving from inevitable certainty to political imposition.

This is not a book about the future but about a present that goes unacknowledged. The outline of a world immeasurably better than our own, more equal, prosperous, and creative, is there to see if only we dare to look. But insight alone is not enough. We must have the courage – for that is what is required – to argue, persuade, and build.

There is a world to win.

FALC

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Bibliography

Introduction

Doug

Amazon. ‘Introducing Amazon Go and the World’s Most Advanced Shopping Technology’. YouTube.com, 5 December 2016.

Part I. Chaos under Heaven

  1. The Great Divide

Fukuyama, Francis. ‘The End of History’. National Interest,  16 Summer 1989.

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  1. The Three Disruptions

Industry: The Second Disruption

Brynjolfsson, Erik and Andrew McAfee. The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. W.W. Norton, 2014.

Capitalism’s Critics

Bibliography

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  1. What Is Fully Automated Luxury Communism?

Future Shock 1858

Marx, Karl. Grundrisse. Penguin, 1993.

Communism: A World beyond Scarcity

Marx, Karl. Capital: Volume 3. Penguin Books, 1993.

Marx, Karl. Critique of the Gotha Programme. Progress Publishers, 1960.

Post-Capitalism without Communism: J. M. Keynes

Allen, Katie and Larry Elliott. ‘UK Joins Greece At Bottom of Wage Growth League’. Guardian, 27 July 2016.

Taylor, Ciaren, Andrew Jowett and Michael Hardie. ‘An Examination of Falling Real Wages, 2010 – 2013’. Ofice for National Statistics, 31 January 2014.

Turchin, Peter. ‘The End of Prosperity: Why Did Real Wages Stop Growing in the 1970s?’ Evolution Institute, 4 April 2013.

Post-Capitalism and Information: Peter Drucker

Drucker, Peter. Post-Capitalist Society. Butterworth-Heinemann, 1998.

Marx, Karl. A Contribution To the Critique of Political Economy. Progress Publishers, 1977.

Taylorism and the Productivity Revolution
Drucker, Peter. Post-Capitalist Society. Butterworth-Heinemann, 1998. Marx, Karl. Grundrisse. Penguin, 1993.

Information Goods Want to Be Free – Really

DeLong, J. Bradford and Lawrence Summers. ‘The “New Economy”: Background, Historical Perspective, Questions, and Speculations’. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 2001.

Bibliography

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  1. Full Automation: Post-Scarcity in Labour

‘Ford Factory Workers Get 40-Hour Week’. History.com, 2009.

N. V. ‘Diference Engine: Luddite Legacy’. Economist, 4 November 2011.

Peak Horse

Groom, Brian. ‘The Wisdom of Horse Manure ’. Financial Times, 2 September 2013.

Peak Human

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